NO NEED TO NAME THIS ENEMY

It has become commonplace, among Republican candidates for the presidency, to criticize President Obama and his administration for their almost pathological refusal to identify any violence as terrorism and to describe terrorists as “Muslim terrorists” or “Islamic terrorists” or “Islamist terrorists” even when it has become obvious that they are. One refers not only to Benghazi and San Bernardino, but to many other incidents. But it has become almost as commonplace, to the point of making it a cliché, to base such criticism upon the aphorism that one must name one’s enemy in order to defeat him.

The etymology of that aphorism seems pretty clear. It is a corruption of a quotation from “The Art of War,” by Sun Tsu: “To know your Enemy, you must become your Enemy.” Obviously, there can be a difference between becoming your enemy, and naming him. Not only that, some have pointed out that if you choose to become your enemy in order to know and defeat him, you run the risk of becoming just as wicked as your enemy. It seems self-evident that one can defeat an enemy without having either named him or become him; all you need to do is identify and locate him and then kill him.

It is likely that the “name the enemy” approach will eventually become so tired a cliché’ that it will lose whatever political appeal it might have had. But there is a deeper point to be made, beyond the wisdom of ending the debate about whether to label terrorists as Muslim or Islamic or Islamist. Even if the Obama White House were willing to appease its critics by adding the terms “Muslim terrorist,” “Islamic terrorist,” and “Islamist terrorist” to its political vocabulary, there would be no reason to expect that the White House would make any substantive changes to its policies for dealing with terror inspired or directed by ISIS, Al Qaeda, or Iran. The awful truth, alas, is that this President, though willing to talk trash to – and deliver the occasional drone strike against – terrorists in general, does not intend to defeat anyone or anything that is Muslim, regardless of whether the population or the leadership of the potential adversary practices the extreme version of Islam referred to in the West as Islamism. This is not just a matter of pandering to domestic voting blocs. It is a policy that indicates that this is a war he does not really want to win.

JOHN ROBERTS IS MISUNDERSTOOD

For the many Republicans who feel betrayed by the Chief Justice’s opinions on ObamaCare and many other touchstone cases, whose impression is that Roberts is not the “conservative” they expected him to be, the article by Adam J. White in the November 11, 2015 issue of The Weekly Standard should be an eye-opener. See: http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/judging-roberts_1063131.html?page=3

It is now commonplace, and not just among talk-radio hosts who style themselves conservatives, to hear Justice Roberts’s opinions critiqued on the basis of whether conservatives benefit from the outcomes of his decisions. It is almost as commonplace, among analysts who view themselves as being above the fray, to tackle the Roberts oeuvre by determining whether he generally adheres to the “original meaning” or “original intent” theories of statutory or constitutional interpretation. The salient feature of the White article is that it shows the failure of each of those approaches to identify the inner Roberts.

White’s point is that Roberts’s point is that there is no particular mode of statutory or constitutional interpretation that is necessarily the best. Yes, it should be obvious that the approach of picking winners and losers on the basis of identifying the more attractive or deserving winner (the Sotomayor method) is, in the end, a loser’s game. A bit more complex, and less-easily dismissed, are the two approaches currently in vogue: the “living document” approach that is generally favored by the political left, and the “original meaning” and “original intent” approaches generally favored by the political right. White’s view is that Justice Roberts makes a conscious effort to favor none of these approaches, and as a result he disappoints or confuses just about everyone.

White’s insight is that the essence of Robertsism is Separation Of Powers. The Chief Justice is a constitutionalist, but primarily in the sense that he believes the Court’s mission is to police and enforce the constitutional allocation of powers among the three branches of American government. Roberts hates it when Congress delegates too much discretion to federal agencies, by adopting laws that are too vague, too incomplete, and that thereby invest the executive branch with too much leeway to adopt regulations that go far beyond the apparent intention and scope of the law or even conflict with it – as in the notorious case of the ObamaCare statute. He is likewise offended when the President issues executive orders that represent de facto legislation and effectively by-pass Congress. He was willing to twist himself into a pretzel in order to find a way to interpret the ObamaCare statute as being constitutional, because he respects the authority of Congress – even though he might have been appalled, as a citizen, by ObamaCare. In White’s view, Roberts is not political; in his role as judge, he does not allow himself to prefer one outcome over another and he does not prefer less regulation to more regulation. He is neither a federalist nor a cheerleader for states’ rights. He reserves his cheers for democracy and is opposed to efforts to undermine the authority or the actions of Congress.

The Roberts approach carries risk. The risk in it, if not the fatal flaw, is exposed by the Obamacare fiasco, the possibility of a law that was only passed because the administration drafted it so cleverly as to mask its real intent – the very intent that Roberts professed to have discovered. In other words, the Roberts approach allows abuse, perhaps encourages it: if a White House can blow by Congress a law that is intended to mean (and can be laboriously re-written by the Supremes to mean) something quite different from what it appears to mean, the separation of powers will have been subverted, the will of the people ignored. Exactly the opposite of what Justice Roberts claims to seek.

From this observer’s conservative perspective, Roberts is the ideal Chief Justice of the United States. He carries no agenda, follows no particular school of statutory or constitutional interpretation, and does what he can to see that Congress, and only Congress, gets to make our laws. He is willing to consider original meaning, original intent, contemporary perspectives, history, and precedent. His mind is truly open, and he is indeed the “umpire” he set out to be, not a player. Would that we always had nine such justices.

THE REGULATORY STATE

“The size and complexity of the U.S. tax code also grew dramatically in recent decades. As of 2011, it takes 70,000 pages of instructions to explain the federal tax code (McCaherty, 2014). The code has about four million words and 67,000 sections, subsections and cross-references. It’s all crystal clear if you read the instructions.” Those are excerpts from a speech delivered recently by Prof. Steven J. Davis of the U. of Chicago and Hoover Institute. What does the professor suggest? “1. Keep the regulatory system clear, simple, and easy to administer, and then live with it. 2. Keep the tax system as simple as possible. 3. Make economic policies predictable.” I think the professor has identified the problem but not solved it.

The Common Law system, as established and developed in England, used to be taught in our law schools as one of the two primary forms of legal system, the other being the Civil Code system, which evolved from Roman civil law and Christian canon law and, centuries later, got traction in France, Spain, and elsewhere outside the British Empire. The two systems took different paths of development:

  • The Common Law system tried to stick to root documents (the Magna Carta, the U.S. Constitution) and to perceived societal norms and ethics, as interpreted and applied over time by the judiciary, and it did not pursue solutions to anything other than the particular case or controversy at hand. The English and the Americans felt that no one could anticipate every possible conflict or dispute that might arise in the course of human events.
  • The Civil Code system was rules, rules, and more rules, an attempt to anticipate and plan for everything. For all practical purposes, central planning and the Civil Code system are synonymous. Unlike the Common Law system, which was developed by the judiciary, the Civil Code system was developed by the legislature (or by the monarch, emperor, or Pope or other head of state or religion). For a fuller presentation on this topic, see: https://www.law.berkeley.edu/library/robbins/CommonLawCivilLawTraditions.html

The Civil Code system is based upon the conceit that smart, high-minded people can anticipate all possible problems and disputes and can write specific rules and regulations that will appropriately address and resolve them. The American Founding Fathers, like the English and their other colonies, did not share that conceit.

The Common Law system is compatible with free markets and minimal regulation of individual and corporate behavior. The Civil Code system is more compatible with a highly-regulated, centrally-planned economy and civil society. Rome presented the original Civil Code system. As was well-understood by the Romans (and by Gibbon), most “barbarians” regarded a surrender to Rome as a forfeiture of a large share of their individual liberties, a deal accepted by those who felt the material benefits of the Roman umbrella seemed more attractive than a free life in a less-developed territory outside the boundaries of the empire.  That type of trade-off is still operative, two millennia later.

It is no coincidence that the last nations that still emphasize individual and market freedoms are those that adopted a Common Law legal system, while the countries that impose more economic or social limitations can be fairly described as Civil Code countries – whether nominally capitalistic (e.g., China, Russia) or unremittingly controlling and repressive (e.g., North Korea, Iran), and whether labeled democratic, leftist, socialist, communist, or fascist. All authoritarian regimes, regardless of style or label, are essentially centrally-planned, Civil Code regimes. Authoritarians issue rules, they do not wait for judicial verdicts. Cynics have explained the phenomenon by pointing out that it is simpler to corrupt a politician than to corrupt a judge, and that regulations, which spell out the winners and losers in specific situations rather than following root principles, are often purchased by special interests. In all events, the central-planning, Civil Code model invites corruption.

As Hayek showed, the regulatory reach of central planning can only expand, never contract, as its proponents believe that the solution to every problem that is not solved by existing rules is to adopt more rules. The more advanced the establishment of the planning model, the more difficult and unlikely the un-winding.

America’s transition to a regulatory state has not been a matter of party politics, though it is generally identified with the Democratic Party. The Tax Reform Act of 1986, which briefly moved us back in the direction of the de-regulated, Common-Law model, was a bi-partisan law under which we switched to a nearly-flat tax and eliminated many special-interest deductions, credits, and other expressions of crony capitalism and social engineering. But it was a Republican President, George H. W. Bush, who initiated the dismantling of the TRA, and though the coup de grace was delivered by the Clinton administration, Republicans have shown themselves to be almost as addicted to over-regulation as Democrats. With the exception of the TRA, the country has been engaged since 1933 in an uninterrupted transformation into a Civil Code nation, and the process cannot be blamed solely upon the Obama regime. Long before 2009, the Internal Revenue Code and the Code of Federal Regulations were unworkable, virtually unintelligible exercises in central planning.

For all practical purposes, America is no longer a Common Law nation. It is simplistic and unrealistic for Americans to complain about excessive, complex, unclear, or unwise regulations. Short of a willful reversion to the Common Law system, we are never going to put the central- planning genie back into the bottle. You cannot just say, Let’s have better regulations. You cannot end the regulatory state by advocating smarter regulations (as does Cass Sunstein, President Obama’s former “Regulatory Czar”),  or by advocating clearer, simpler, and easier-to-administer regulations (as does Prof. Davis) . Not going to happen. Once you start playing on Prof. Sunstein’s home field, you have already lost the game.

HOW TO GET A BETTER QUARTERBACK

The myth of parity in the NFL, the notion that any team can win against any other team on any given Sunday, has been debunked. More than ever, there are many, many teams who could not beat this year’s frontrunners (the Patriots and the Packers), on any Sunday, Monday, or Thursday and regardless of whether the game were played in Boston, Green Bay, Houston, or Timbuktu.

It is widely understood that the demise of parity has coincided with the increasing importance of the quarterback position. Also widely understood is that there are only two elite QBs, and maybe another 10 semi-elite QBs, in the NFL, if by “elite QB” you mean one who can take his team to the Super Bowl even if the rest of the team is ordinary (Brady and Rogers), and by “semi-elite QB” you mean one who can take his team to the Super Bowl if the rest of the team is pretty good and pretty lucky. A classic non-elite, non semi-elite QB is Andy Dalton, who cannot take even a very good team beyond the first week of the playoffs. There is no comparable problem in any other major pro sport, which suggests football has much less margin for error in addressing it.

The other reason why parity is dead, which the public has been slower to recognize, is that there is a comparable hierarchy among General Managers. There are maybe a half-dozen elite or semi-elite GMs – guys who can consistently come up with a playoff-caliber roster, whether by drafting, trading, or picking up free agents. The recipe for acquiring a good QB is for a team to be very talented (having a GM who performs shrewd drafting, trading, and pickups) or very lucky. The luckiest team in NFL history is the Indianapolis Colts, who just happened, as the league’s worst team in 2 seasons that were 14 years apart, to get the #1 pick in the draft in the year when the elite Peyton Manning entered the draft (1998), and the #1pick in the year when the semi-elite Andrew Luck entered the draft (2012). Of course there are those rude enough to suggest that it takes more than mere ineptitude to finish last in the NFL.

The hapless Houston Texans have never had even a semi-elite QB, and their GM for the latest 9 years has been the decidedly non-elite Rick Smith. During Mr. Smith’s tenure, the Texans have progressed from a feckless expansion team (2002) to a feckless older team. The Texans’ Head Coach, Bill O’Brien, is only in his second season at the helm, and many are inclined to blame the team’s sorry state upon the talent level of the team’s roster, rather than upon O’Brien’s coaching.

So, what to do? For the Texans, there is only one pathway to progress: identify and hire an elite (or at least, semi-elite) GM, and try not to win any more games this season. Without a really good GM, the probability of acquiring an elite or semi-elite QB is low. No NFL team in its right mind would trade away or release an elite or even a semi-elite QB, meaning the only way to fix your QB situation is through the draft, and there are only two ways to do that: (i) improve your draft standing by losing the rest of your games this season; and (ii) bet the farm, like trading away your best player (J. J. Watt) in exchange for a vast improvement in your inventory of draft picks and, possibly, a pickup of better non-QB players from the other team(s). Yes, Watt might be the best player in the league, but he is not the league’s most valuable player, as witnessed not only by the MVP voting but by the fact that the Texans, who were a playoff team during the year Watt was drafted (2011), are now on track to be a 3 & 13 team in Watt’s 5th year, despite Watt’s great talent.

Yes, there is no assurance that the best QB prospect in the draft will be a Peyton Manning rather than a Ryan Leaf (#2 in the Manning draft, and a total bust). But there is no alternative. Drafting and trading are always a gamble, sometimes an extreme gamble, but, if you must gamble, why not at least hire a really good gambler to play your hand? Would you trust a Rick Smith to be the one negotiating the trading of a J. J. Watt?

THE PEACE DIVIDEND

The “peace dividend” was the windfall financial benefit expected by the U.S. to begin in 1991, with the ending of the Cold War and the breakup of the Soviet Union. The breakup was expected to permit a reduction in this country’s needs for national defense, resulting in a budgetary surplus. But the U.S., under all Presidents since the breakup, has reserved substantially-reduced levels of spending for national defense, but has chosen not to apply the resulting savings to reduce our national debt. Instead, we have used those savings to jack up our levels of domestic expenditures.

Like Rome two thousand years ago, we have given up on using military force to protect our borders and our allies (our “active virtue,” as Gibbon put it), and our domestic economy, dragged down by corruption, fiscal ineptitude, and the continuing absence of vigorous and competent leadership, has ceased to grow. The more-privileged of our citizens, like those of Rome, have abandoned child-rearing and turned to partying hard while the good times still roll. (Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we die.) Like Rome, we no longer think we can afford to maintain, much less expand, our territorial limits, and the barbarians, as quickly as they get the message, are at the gates. The pace of the attacks is escalating. Unfortunately for the U.S., our re-enactment of the decline and fall of Rome is taking place while we are on Internet Time.  While it took 500 years for all of the barbarians to get word that Rome was theirs for the taking, nowadays it has only taken 7 years for the world to figure out that our President is a pushover.

For an example, consider this: “North Korea reportedly willing to sign peace treaty with US to end conflict” (as reported on Fox News online on 10/19) – at

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/10/18/north-korea-reportedly-seeks-to-end-conflict-with-us-with-peace-treaty/?intcmp=hpbt1

Things are changing in a hurry. By the time President Obama’s term ends, by the time his “transformation” of the U.S. has been accomplished, there may be nothing left of America’s longstanding position as the sole barrier between civilization and today’s “barbarians” – the parts of the world dominated by the autocratic and brutal leaders of today’s Axis of Evil nations. Would anyone who could afford to leave South Korea choose to remain there after the U.S. presence had been terminated by an arrangement negotiated by the U.S. President who negotiated, over the vehement objections of Congress, the deal that allows Iran to develop nuclear weapons – and gives them a financial bonus – in exchange for an unenforceable promise to defer that development for a few years? Can anyone imagine a Korean withdrawal, negotiated by this White House, that would advance the interests of the U.S. in Asia or the world?